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Shining Fates pull rates

Per-rarity odds for Shining Fates booster packs (Sword & Shield (2020-2022) model). Each pack: 4× commons, 3× uncommons, 1× reverse (reverse holo), 1× hit.

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Odds per pack by rarity

RarityAvg per packPull rateIn this set
Rare Rainbow0.01 per pack1 in 78 packs1 card
Rare Ultra0.06 per pack1 in 16 packs9 cards
Amazing Rare0.01 per pack1 in 103 packs3 cards
Rare Holo VMAX0.03 per pack1 in 31 packs6 cards
Rare Holo V0.10 per pack1 in 10 packs8 cards
Rare Holo0.23 per pack1 in 4 packs7 cards
Rare0.66 per pack1 in 2 packs8 cards
Uncommon3.4 per packEvery pack13 cards
Common4.5 per packEvery pack18 cards

A pack draws one card per slot; weights are normalized across only the rarities that exist in Shining Fates, so these are set-specific, not generic. Rates are community-approximated, not official, and are the exact rates this simulator uses. There's also a rare God Pack (all hits) at roughly 1 in 1,000.

Best chase cards in Shining Fates

Highest-value pulls and roughly how often each one appears.

Skyla
Skyla
~1 in 140$10.35
Poké Kid
Poké Kid
~1 in 140$8.94
Alcremie V
Alcremie V
~1 in 140$5.45
Ditto VMAX
Ditto VMAX
~1 in 186$5.22
Alcremie VMAX
Alcremie VMAX
~1 in 78$4.96
Kyogre
Kyogre
~1 in 310$4.45
Ball Guy
Ball Guy
~1 in 140$4.23
Morpeko VMAX
Morpeko VMAX
~1 in 186$3.74
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